December 3, 2024
Given Canada's recent explosive rise in house prices, affordability is a big concern. As this blog addresses, supply and demand imbalances resulting from historically low interest rates, foreign direct investment, and fast urbanization are the main elements affecting price increases.
Home prices in Canada are sky-high for a reason, and these key factors explain why and what it means for potential buyers.
The significant rise in house prices during the past few years has questioned the affordability of homes in Canada's big cities. Government policies, imbalances between supply and demand, and foreign investor investments all help explain the outrageous housing prices in Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal.
First, let's examine the leading causes of Canada's high housing prices and the elements that make entering the real estate market challenging for many people.
A leading cause of Canada's outrageous house prices is the mismatch between demand and supply. The fast rise in the local and international populations in big cities like Vancouver, Montreal, and Toronto drives excellent demand for homes there. However, limited land, strict zoning rules, and bureaucratic delays in development approval procedures have caused the supply of new homes to lag behind this rise.
Driven by historically low interest rates, homebuyers and investors have increased property demand, making borrowing more reasonable. In some big cities, demand rises as mortgage rates drop since the monthly affordability of homeownership increases. However, this demand drives even more erratic pricing in cities with limited housing.
Thanks mainly to foreign investment, particularly from nations like China, Canadian significant cities have seen rising prices for built homes. Foreign investors' view of Canada's market stability and security drives homebuyers and price increases in the nation. Just as bad as it sounds, speculative buying—buying homes for the sake of speculation instead of immediate occupancy—increases prices, fuels more competition for a small supply of homes, and so on.
Urban areas like Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal have seen a disproportionate share of Canada's population increase. These cities' better job prospects, infrastructure, and facilities attract international immigrants and Canadians wishing to change their way of life or career path. The great demand from the dense population is driving a dramatic rise in house prices in urban areas.
Among other government policies and rules, land-use restrictions, zoning laws, and development charges significantly impact the housing market. These rules often limit the availability of land for new housing projects, raise building costs, and postpone the market introduction of new housing units. These policy-related challenges prevent affordable housing development and help explain why the housing market prices keep rising.
The following table compares of the average home prices across major cities in Canada. It highlights how home prices differ by region, offering a glimpse into the scale of the affordability issue.
City | Average Home Price (2024) | Price Growth (YoY) | Key Factors Driving Prices |
Vancouver | $1,250,000 | 8% | Foreign investment, limited land supply |
Toronto | $1,150,000 | 6% | Urbanization, low interest rates |
Montreal | $600,000 | 5% | Population growth, demand-supply imbalance |
Calgary | $575,000 | 4% | Strong economy, migration from other cities |
Ottawa | $700,000 | 7% | Government policies, rising demand |
A variety of factors are fueling the rise in housing prices across Canada. Here’s a breakdown of the key drivers:
Factor | Impact on Housing Prices |
Demand-Supply Imbalance | Increased demand with limited supply leads to bidding wars, pushing prices up. |
Low Interest Rates | Lower borrowing costs encourage more people to buy homes, increasing demand and prices. |
Foreign Investment | Foreign buyers purchase properties, especially in desirable locations, reducing the available housing stock. |
Urbanization & Population Growth | More people are moving to urban centers, increasing competition available for homes, and increases prices. |
Government Policies | Policies like tax incentives or subsidies can stimulate demand but may also contribute to higher prices in the market. |
Short-Term Rentals | Short term rentals Property owners who convert units to short-term rentals reduce the availability for long-term renters, increasing rent and purchase costs. |
These factors—including government policies, foreign investment, and supply and demand imbalances—drive too high housing prices, particularly in major cities.
Apart from cost, speculative investment is a primary contributor to the inflation in home prices in Canada. Often, when buying homes with plans for future appreciation, property speculators either never occupy them or rent them out on temporary sites like Airbnb.
Thus, fewer homes are accessible for long-term renters, which raises rent and complicates the local search for reasonably priced accommodation. The lack of available homes and the popularity of short-term rentals have increased house prices in cities including Montreal, Toronto, and Vancouver.
Canadian house prices vary greatly. Unlike highly sought-after but limited urban areas like Toronto and Vancouver, Calgary and the Maritimes offer more reasonably priced substitutes. One instance is the availability of less populated regions, such as rural areas or smaller cities, more reasonably priced homes. It facilitates resident entry into the market. Still, these areas' conveniences and economic possibilities might be less than big cities.
The high cost of housing in Canada is a multifaceted issue driven by economic, demographic, and policy-related factors. Many Canadians find their housing costly, including low interest rates, foreign investment, a shortage relative to demand, and growing urbanization. The affordability issue can be resolved permanently with more legislative changes, more home supply, and tighter control of speculative investments, If all Canding legislators, builders, and homebuyers—are intensely aware of these critical concerns, then together, we can reduce housing costs and improve accessibility.