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Canadian Real Estate Market Insights January 2024 | Bungalow Finder

February 10, 2024

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Canadian Real Estate Market Insights January 2024

The beginning of 2024 paints a varied picture of the bungalow real estate market in Ontario, Canada. While some cities witness moderate price increases, others experience slight declines, offering a nuanced perspective for prospective buyers and sellers navigating the market. This diversity reflects the multifaceted nature of Ontario's real estate landscape, with each city presenting its unique opportunities and challenges.

Greater Toronto Area (GTA)

The GTA remains a focal point within the Ontario housing market, showcasing resilience with a 3% year-over-year increase in average home prices, reaching $1,084,692. Despite this positive trend, specific neighborhoods within the GTA may exhibit variations, presenting unique opportunities for buyers and investors. The GTA continues attracting attention from domestic and international investors, driven by its robust economy, diverse cultural scene, and strong demand for housing.

City of Toronto

Home prices within the City of Toronto show a modest 4% year-over-year increase, reaching $1,062,914. Toronto's vibrant real estate landscape continues to attract buyers seeking diverse housing options and urban amenities, contributing to its competitive market dynamics. The city's resilient economy and ongoing infrastructure developments position it as a desirable destination for home buyers and investors. 

Ottawa

Ottawa's housing market demonstrates stability, with home prices rising by 4% year-over-year to $632,487. The city's robust economy and government presence bolster its appeal to homebuyers and investors, fostering sustained growth and demand. Ottawa's diverse neighborhoods offer various housing options, catering to multiple lifestyle preferences and budget ranges. As the nation's capital, Ottawa continues to attract residents seeking employment opportunities, cultural amenities, and quality of life.

Mississauga, Brampton, and Hamilton:

In Mississauga, home prices experience a slight decline of 3% year-over-year, while Brampton and Hamilton witness modest increases of 1%. These cities offer distinct lifestyle offerings and affordability levels, catering to  diverse buyer preferences. Mississauga's proximity to Toronto and its vibrant community and amenities make it an attractive destination for families and professionals alike. Brampton and Hamilton's affordability and accessibility make them appealing options for first-time buyers and investors looking to enter the real estate market.

Mortgage Rates Update

As of February 9, 2024, Ontario's housing market benefits from favorable mortgage rates, with the lowest rate for a 5-Year Fixed mortgage standing at 4.74%. This competitive rate enhances affordability and stimulates market activity, providing opportunities for prospective homebuyers. The current low-interest-rate environment presents an advantageous time for buyers to secure financing and capitalize on favorable market conditions. By staying informed about mortgage rate updates, buyers can confidently make informed decisions and navigate the real estate market.

Despite anticipations of distressed sellers and a flood of new listings due to higher interest rates, 2023 did not witness significant materialization of these expectations. About 20% of mortgage holders renewed their mortgages into higher interest rates in the past year, with more expected in 2024. However, the surge in distressed sellers and new listings predicted by some experts did not manifest, leaving the market relatively stable.

Nationwide Trends

Across Canada, many cities experienced minimal changes in new listings, with some even witnessing a decrease compared to previous years. However, cities like Toronto, Vancouver, Ottawa, and Montreal observed notable increases in active inventory  despite not being attributed to new listings. This surge in inventory is primarily a result of reduced sales activity rather than an influx of new properties hitting the market.

Impact on Home Prices

Contrary to expectations, home prices across Canada remained relatively stagnant in 2023, with minimal fluctuations compared to previous years. However, certain cities such as Calgary and Vancouver saw notable increases, setting all-time highs in some cases. Vancouver, in particular, surprised observers by starting 2024 with home prices up by approximately 5% compared to 2023.

Market Insights from Various Cities

Victoria

Victoria's real estate market reflects a buyer's market, with inventory up 38% from the five-year average. Despite this, home prices remain relatively stable, with a 1% year-over-year increase, offering opportunities for buyers in the region.

Vancouver

Vancouver's housing market sees a shift towards a buyer's market, with inventory up 1% and prices down 5% year-over-year. Despite this decline, Vancouver remains a desirable destination, attracting buyers seeking diverse lifestyle offerings.

Calgary and Edmonton

Calgary and Edmonton's real estate markets showcase contrasting dynamics, with Calgary experiencing tight inventory levels and a 10% year-over-year price increase. In comparison, Edmonton sees inventory down 29% and prices up 3% year-over-year.

Regina and Saskatoon

Regina and Saskatoon's housing markets strike a balance between supply and demand, with inventory levels impacting price movements. Regina sees prices down 4% year-over-year, while Saskatoon experiences a 3% increase.

Winnipeg

Winnipeg's real estate market witnesses decreased sales activity, with relatively stable prices. However, inventory levels indicate a balanced market, offering opportunities for both buyers and sellers.

Montreal and Halifax

Montreal's market sees inventory up 12%, contributing to a balanced market with stable prices.  On the other hand Halifax experiences a 34% increase in inventory, indicating a shift towards a balanced market after a prolonged seller's market phase.

Bottom Line

As we navigate the Canadian real estate market in January 2024, we must consider the diverse trends and dynamics shaping each city's housing landscape tax. Whether you're exploring opportunities in Ontario's vibrant markets or other regions across Canada, staying informed about market developments empowers you to make informed decisions in your real estate journey with BungalowFinder.ca.

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