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Housing Market Predictions 2025 Canada Ontario

May 17, 2025

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2025 Milton Bungalow Market Trends & Risks graphic featuring a modern brick bungalow with a well-maintained lawn and the Bungalow Finder logo.

Milton, Ontario Market– a fast-growing Halton Region town west of Toronto – continues to attract homebuyers and investors. Its population (≈133,000 in 2021, ~155,000 by 2025) has been surging, driven by young families and newcomers. This growth, along with an aging segment seeking single-floor homes, is spotlighting bungalows.

Below, we review the latest data on Milton’s market, demographic shifts, planning changes, and what they mean for investors in 2025.

Market Trends: Prices, Sales, and Inventory

According to local real estate board data, Milton’s overall housing market has been relatively stable in early 2025. Key highlights include: 

Metric

Value

Year-over-Year Change

Notes

Avg. Detached Price

$1.22 million

± 0%

Bungalows included in this segment

Avg Condo/Townhouse Price

$810,000

↓ ~1%

Slight dip year-over-year

Price Trend (Overall)

Holding steady (+0.4%)

As per Halton Region’s late 2024 report

New Detached Listings

117 listings (Jan 2025)

↑ 102% (from 58 in Jan 2024)

Significant inventory increase

New Condo/Townhouse Listings

82 listings (Jan 2025)

↑ 332% (from 19 in Jan 2024)

Dramatic rise in available inventory

Transaction Volume

Strong rebound; up 54% by Fall 2024

Sales and listings both rose significantly

Avg. Days on Market

23 days (mid-2024 for detached homes)

Slightly ↑ (from ~21 days in mid-2023)

Indicates healthy but not overheated demand

These trends suggest Milton’s market remains healthy but not overheated. Prices for single-family homes are near their recent highs, yet rising inventory and lower borrowing costs encourage new buyers. Notably, a predicted cut in interest rates is expected to further boost activity in 2025.

Demographics and Demand Drivers

Milton’s population boom underpins long-term housing demand. Its population jumped ~21% from 2016 to 2021 and continues growing at around 3.8% per year, among the fastest rates in Canada. Milton’s land area is built out mainly or protected by the Greenbelt, so new supply must come from infill and intensification, tightening the market.

Milton is a relatively young, affluent community – the median age is ~36, and household incomes exceed $120K. This means many buyers are families seeking starter or mid-sized homes.

However, there is a growing senior population as well. A recent Town survey of residents found “accessibility issues and/ or aging,” prompting many to seek single-floor living. Respondents said their ideal home would be “accessible housing, bungalow or single-floor living”. About 6% of Milton households surveyed reported they needed a home with fewer bedrooms. This indicates a solid latent demand for bungalow-style homes from empty-nesters and retirees who want to stay in Milton.

In summary, Milton’s demographics feature both young buyers and aging residents. The youth and high incomes support strong demand for housing in general, while the rising number of older households boosts interest in one-story “forever homes.” Bungalow investors can benefit from these dual trends: families buying smaller detached homes, and seniors seeking age-friendly properties.

Planning, Infrastructure, and Zoning Changes

Several recent policy and infrastructure developments will affect Milton’s housing landscape:

Additional Residential Units (ARUs)

In June 2024, Milton amended its zoning to allow up to three secondary suites on a detached or semi-detached lot (effectively four units per lot with municipal services). This enables bungalow owners to add a basement apartment, granny flat, laneway house, etc.

The program took effect June 25, 2024, and an official ARU registration launched April 1, 2025. The ARU residential policy is an excellent opportunity for investors: a single bungalow lot can legally yield multiple rental units, boosting cash flow.

Higher-Density Developments

In some parts of Milton, planners continue pushing more density. For example, a West Milton development plan was recently rezoned for a mixed-use community with eight buildings of 10–15 storys each. While these condo towers won’t be bungalows, they illustrate the trend of urbanizing new subdivisions.

Investors should note that such projects will provide alternate housing options over time, but low-rise bungalows will remain a niche product.

Highway and Transit Upgrades

The Ontario government is conducting a study to expand Highway 401 through Milton, potentially adding lanes and HOV lanes.

Better highway access can make Milton more attractive to commuters, though construction may be disruptive in the short term. Transit is also evolving: local leaders continue to push for an all-day two-way GO Train service on the Milton line (improving connection to Toronto), which would be a positive for Milton real estate if achieved.

Housing Supply Concerns

An OMDREB market update in May 2025 warned that new home construction is slowing even as resale demand remains strong. “Resale homes are moving quickly, but new home builds are slowing. We need housing starts to meet growth targets and ensure supply does not run dry,” noted the board.

In practical terms, Milton’s future growth relies more on redeveloping existing land than sprawling outward. For bungalow investors, that suggests existing single-family lots will retain value, but competition will also grow.

Opportunities for Investors

Milton’s bungalow market offers several strategic advantages:

  • Dual Market Demand: Aging residents and young families alike seek one-storey homes, ensuring strong buyer and rental interest.

  • Multi-Unit Conversion Potential: Investors can take advantage of new ARU regulations to turn a single bungalow into multiple legal rental units, dramatically increasing cash flow potential.

  • Attractive Financing Conditions: Interest rate cuts in 2025 have improved affordability, helping more buyers re-enter the market and increasing upside potential for price growth.

  • Stable Price Performance: Home prices in Milton have remained strong with modest upward trends, offering steady appreciation rather than speculative volatility.

  • Land Value Upside: Existing bungalow lots may offer long-term redevelopment potential, especially in central areas where zoning could eventually favour higher density.

Risks and Cautions

Of course, Milton investors must also weigh the downside:

High Entry Price

With detached homes around $1.0–1.3M (as of 2024) in Milton’s market, bungalows cost a premium. Monthly carrying costs are high, which can squeeze profit if rents or resale prices weaken. Your investment return may be modest if price growth is slow.

Interest Rate Uncertainty

Although rate cuts are expected, any unexpected Federal hikes or delays could cool the market. Investors relying on further rate drops should have a buffer. Notably, analysts warn that global factors could offset the positive effect of rate cuts.

Supply Dynamics

On one hand, high inventory today suits buyers; on the other, if new homebuilding picks up, it could create future competition. Conversely, if construction lags too much, Milton might face a housing shortage, which would keep prices high and fuel affordability issues and potential policy backlash.

Regulatory Risk

Zoning and policy can change. For instance, Milton’s move to allow ARUs greatly benefits investors, but future changes could erode returns. Similarly, increasing density could alter neighbourhood dynamics. Political or community resistance could also slow future developments.

Changing Preferences

Finally, buyer tastes can shift. If younger families increasingly favor compact urban condos or alternatives, demand for bungalows could soften. Also, bungalows can require more upkeep per square foot than new builds. Any enormous renovation costs could impact profitability.

Winter Festival

Milton’s lively winter festival boosts community appeal, tourism, and short-term rental income, but can also bring traffic, vehicle noise, higher tenant turnover, property wear, and potential bylaw changes—investors should plan for seasonal fluctuations and added maintenance.

Conclusion

In summary, Milton’s bungalow market in 2025 sits at the intersection of strong fundamental demand and evolving supply conditions. Demographic trends support continued interest in one-storey homes. Recent data show Milton’s prices are around ~$1.2M for detached houses, even as sales volumes climb and inventory expands.

For investors, the opportunity lies in Milton’s increasing demand and the ability to generate extra income via accessory units. However, the risks of high costs, market shifts, and policy changes warrant caution. As always, careful due diligence is key: work with local experts, watch the ongoing Halton real estate trends, and consider macro and local factors when evaluating Milton bungalow investments.